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KBOstats 실험

Data Table : 기대득점 및 득점확율 (KBO2005-2014)

by 토아일당 2015. 8. 18.


텍스트 버전의 테이블 첨부합니다. 


Run_Expectancy
out/base05_142005200620072008200920102011201220132014
0_00.5430.5330.4540.4930.5100.5940.5730.5170.4590.5160.630
0_10.9220.9100.8120.8430.8970.8940.9750.8680.7940.8831.029
0_21.2011.2491.0041.2781.2111.3541.2591.1771.0361.1951.290
0_31.4591.3401.3221.4261.4291.5381.5131.4841.1481.4211.679
0_121.5561.5671.4731.5051.5701.4641.7011.6501.3701.4441.658
0_131.8421.6381.4881.7471.7591.9631.9101.9011.7271.7932.081
0_232.1241.9142.0002.0172.1631.8641.9871.9652.1701.9612.213
0_1232.4292.1312.1152.4722.5722.3432.2732.6082.2172.2202.536
1_00.2920.2770.2440.2600.2720.3380.3030.2930.2490.2770.347
1_10.5680.5640.4890.5250.5470.6020.5570.5750.4870.5580.635
1_20.7350.6820.6830.7070.7110.7700.7800.7450.6400.7420.809
1_31.0371.0210.9391.0461.0611.0421.1361.0050.9601.0491.059
1_120.9991.0190.8790.9470.9790.9941.0121.0170.8951.0021.090
1_131.2451.2691.1571.1181.2201.2631.2331.2951.1901.1571.328
1_231.4871.4811.5251.4511.4211.4641.4581.5531.4601.2451.624
1_1231.6441.6761.4161.5891.6231.6481.7481.7521.6671.4451.670
2_00.1080.0920.0910.0950.1030.1330.1200.1060.0930.1080.123
2_10.2400.2160.2060.2240.2460.2460.2570.2340.2080.2290.278
2_20.3420.2900.3200.3230.3420.3720.3620.3380.2910.3150.409
2_30.3790.3000.3660.3780.3980.4020.3970.4140.3470.3760.393
2_120.4760.4420.4410.4460.5100.4640.4940.4910.4110.5170.509
2_130.5090.4700.4690.4860.5710.5480.5340.5450.4400.4860.542
2_230.6340.6060.6080.6050.6250.5660.6010.7040.5200.6250.738
2_1230.8250.8480.7740.7640.7450.8570.8750.8780.7700.7950.822


Run_probability
out/base05_142005200620072008200920102011201220132014
0_028.2%28.5%25.2%26.5%26.7%31.1%29.9%27.5%25.8%27.8%32.2%
0_142.5%43.2%41.2%40.7%42.2%41.8%45.2%40.5%40.1%42.6%46.9%
0_265.2%63.3%60.3%66.7%66.2%68.2%66.9%66.9%63.9%64.8%64.4%
0_384.7%79.2%86.4%79.4%83.5%79.8%89.5%86.8%84.1%86.9%87.8%
0_1264.6%67.3%65.6%62.4%62.7%61.4%67.7%64.0%62.8%63.2%68.1%
0_1386.0%84.2%77.9%86.6%87.2%88.8%86.6%86.8%85.6%88.9%85.7%
0_2387.2%88.6%88.2%86.8%89.4%85.6%87.3%85.8%88.7%83.8%88.8%
0_12385.4%84.7%85.0%85.6%88.3%83.9%82.7%90.0%81.7%84.7%87.1%
1_016.5%16.4%14.1%15.2%15.3%19.5%17.4%16.6%14.8%16.0%19.5%
1_127.8%28.5%24.7%26.0%27.8%29.3%27.7%27.8%25.6%27.9%31.2%
1_241.4%38.2%39.2%40.0%41.1%42.6%43.1%43.4%38.1%42.4%44.8%
1_367.5%63.0%64.2%68.8%69.4%65.4%70.7%67.3%71.0%67.5%66.4%
1_1244.0%46.1%39.8%42.4%43.8%44.3%44.1%44.6%40.6%44.5%48.2%
1_1366.4%64.5%65.7%63.9%67.6%68.3%65.8%66.5%67.7%68.0%66.1%
1_2369.7%68.2%71.4%68.1%68.7%68.0%69.7%68.4%70.3%67.3%75.1%
1_12366.7%66.1%62.6%64.0%65.8%66.5%69.3%70.4%69.0%64.6%68.2%
2_06.9%6.4%6.1%6.4%6.3%8.6%7.6%6.8%6.1%6.8%7.7%
2_112.7%11.9%11.7%12.2%12.7%13.6%13.2%11.8%11.8%12.4%14.9%
2_222.0%20.5%20.6%22.1%22.3%23.6%23.4%22.6%19.8%21.5%23.8%
2_326.0%23.0%26.4%23.5%26.3%26.1%27.5%30.0%23.7%27.0%26.5%
2_1224.3%25.0%23.0%24.0%24.8%23.7%24.4%24.4%21.3%25.1%26.7%
2_1327.6%24.1%26.3%26.6%30.9%29.7%28.2%26.3%25.5%28.4%29.1%
2_2327.5%28.4%26.7%26.7%27.2%25.5%27.0%29.1%24.4%28.4%30.1%
2_12333.4%35.7%32.7%32.6%30.2%36.3%35.1%35.1%33.0%31.8%32.2%


* 데이터의 정확성이 완전하지는 않습니다.  수집 및 처리 과정에서 소소한 오류가 있을 수 있고 확인결과 한 시즌 당 최대 5타석 정도의 누락이 있습니다.  다만, 누락 혹은 오류값이 많은 것은 아니기 때문에 오차범위가 클 것 같지는 않습니다. 


* 2005-2011 기간의 데이터는, 8회까지의 데이터로 필터링되어 있으며, 2012-2014 기간의 데이터는 완료되지 않은 이닝제외 방식으로 필터링 되어 있습니다. 


* (제가 알기로는) 지금까지 시즌별 데이터가 공개된 적이 없었기 때문에  상호검증과정을 거질 수 없었고 없었고, 해서 오류가 있을 수 있습니다.  몇가지 알고리즘을 통해 자체검증을 해보긴 했지만 충분치 않을 수 있습니다.  오류 등이 발견되면 계속 업데이트하겠습니다.